The relevance of the study is primarily conditioned by the greater uncertainty of business in agriculture compared to other sectors and its leading place in the economic development of Ukraine, the need to strengthen food security, rural development, and environmental protection. The purpose of the study was a comparative assessment of the levels and trends of state support for agricultural entities of Ukraine and EU member states in general, determining the economic consequences of implementing the “Farm to Fork” and “Biodiversity” strategies in agricultural production of Ukraine and improving the decision-making tool for state support for business structures of the agricultural sector of Ukraine in 2026-2030. In the course of the research, methods of analysis and synthesis, mathematical modelling, normative, and computational and constructive methods were used. As a result of the study, the tools and areas of state support for business structures of the agricultural sector of Ukraine under martial law were analysed, and a comparative assessment of state support for agriculture of Ukraine and EU member states in 2019-2023 was presented. It was established that the implementation of the “Farm to Fork” and “Biodiversity” strategies can reduce in the short term in agricultural enterprises the volume of grain production by 9.2%, oilseeds by 21.0%, and the amount of profit by USD 1.02 billion or approximately USD 57.6 per 1 ha of agricultural land. A mathematical model was proposed for evaluating decision-making on the choice of priority areas of state support for agricultural production. The practical significance of the results obtained in the course of the study lies in the possibility of their use by central and regional executive authorities conducting agricultural policy when making decisions on the development of agriculture in Ukraine
entrepreneurship; sustainable development; agricultural policy; agri-food trade; financing; European integration